Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.67
Over 2.5
32%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
46%
2.61
2-3 Goals
36%
1.69
4-5 Goals
13%
3.93
6+ Goals
5%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 46% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
33%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.2pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.59/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.36
-12% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.5 Crosses 15.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.73 xG 1.38
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
255 Passes 386
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2025 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
03.11.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.10.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
09.06.2024 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-0 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
23.07.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-1 HT 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
11.06.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-2
AWAY Charleston Battery
2.07 xG 1.27
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
192 Passes 412
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery edged past Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Charleston Battery made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 38% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 62%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.07 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-2 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 40%, draw 29%, Charleston Battery 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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