El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive and Monterey Bay couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had El Paso Locomotive at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 55% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 45%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.38 to 2.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.83 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 59%, draw 23%, Monterey Bay 17%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.