Hartford Athletic 1-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.2pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.51/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.36
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.5 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
3W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Tulsa
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.25 xG 2.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
381 Passes 381
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
14.10.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-5 HT 1-3 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
16.07.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 3-2 HT 2-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
11.09.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-2 HT 3-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
25.08.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
1-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.91 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
318 Passes 179
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic and FC Tulsa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 60% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 40%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.91 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hartford Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.40 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs FC Tulsa?

Hartford Athletic 1-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 37%, draw 23%, FC Tulsa 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tulsa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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