Loudoun United 3-2 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
15%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.26
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.7 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Indy Eleven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
412 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.10.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
14.07.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-1 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
27.08.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 2-1 HT 0-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
07.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
26.09.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
13.03.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
3-2
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.83 xG 1.25
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
500 Passes 269
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United nicked a narrow win over Indy Eleven 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day Loudoun United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Loudoun United had 63% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 37%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 1.83 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Indy Eleven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Loudoun United and 1.17 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven?

Loudoun United 3-2 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 42%, draw 21%, Indy Eleven 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Loudoun United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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