FC Tulsa 1-2 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

FC Tulsa
1-2
Hartford Athletic
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

FC Tulsa vs Hartford Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Tulsa v Hartford Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.44/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.09
+5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
15.0 Crosses 19.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

FC Tulsa vs Hartford Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
2.27 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
381 Passes 381
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.10.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-5 HT 1-3 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
16.07.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 3-2 HT 2-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
11.09.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-2 HT 3-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
25.08.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 0-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic nicked a narrow win over FC Tulsa 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Hartford Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for FC Tulsa and 2.25 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Hartford Athletic?

FC Tulsa 1-2 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 35%, draw 29%, Hartford Athletic 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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