Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies
0-2
North Carolina
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tampa Bay Rowdies v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.72/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.81
+41% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
14.6 Crosses 18.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
1W-2D-3L
AWAY North Carolina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.03.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 1-1 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
18.07.2020 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 HT 2-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
22.08.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 4-2 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
09.06.2019 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-3 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
02.09.2018 North Carolina North Carolina 0-3 HT 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
12.08.2018 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 HT 0-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina beat Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, North Carolina led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 2.00 for North Carolina.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 44%, draw 27%, North Carolina 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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