Monterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
3.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 36% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.40
-5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
19.9 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.18 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 Passes 421
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
27.08.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.07.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
29.05.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 4-2 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
20.03.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs nicked a narrow win over Monterey Bay 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Colorado Springs made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.80 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs?

Monterey Bay 0-1 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 36%, draw 31%, Colorado Springs 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monterey Bay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterey Bay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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