Loudoun United 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.85
No
62%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
13%
4.36
6+ Goals
7%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 38% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+11.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-11.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
50%
-11.5pp
62%
BTTS No
50%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.55/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.07
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.2 Crosses 17.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.53 xG 2.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
404 Passes 327
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
10.09.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
29.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
03.04.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
12.09.2021 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 5-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
0-2
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds got the better of Loudoun United 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Pittsburgh Riverhounds made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Loudoun United had 63% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 37%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loudoun United and 2.33 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Loudoun United 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loudoun United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 35%, draw 32%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Loudoun United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loudoun United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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