Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Jul 2024

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-1 HT 1-0
Loudoun United
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
13%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.72/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.74
+1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.1 Crosses 12.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Loudoun United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.03 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
334 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 HT 2-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
29.05.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
05.09.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
03.04.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
12.09.2021 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 5-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
18.07.2021 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1-1
AWAY Loudoun United
2.13 xG 0.49
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
207 Passes 532
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Loudoun United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 33% of the ball to Loudoun United's 67%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.13 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.33 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-1 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 50%, draw 31%, Loudoun United 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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