Detroit City 0-1 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
0.77/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
-43% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.8 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.47 xG 0.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 286
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
12.06.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 0-2 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
0-1
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.56 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
255 Passes 318
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic squeezed past Detroit City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Sacramento Republic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Detroit City had 46% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 54%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.56 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Detroit City and 1.50 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Sacramento Republic?

Detroit City 0-1 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 32%, draw 28%, Sacramento Republic 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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