Rhode Island 2-1 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Jul 2024

Rhode Island
2-1 HT 0-1
North Carolina
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Rhode Island vs North Carolina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 31% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rhode Island v North Carolina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 32%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.80/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.92
+38% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
29.9 Crosses 14.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Rhode Island vs North Carolina Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
0W-1D-0L
AWAY North Carolina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.28 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
391 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.05.2024 North Carolina North Carolina 0-0 HT 0-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP

Rhode Island 2-1 North Carolina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
2-1
AWAY North Carolina
1.83 xG 0.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
458 Passes 310
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island edged past North Carolina 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Rhode Island found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 58% of the ball to North Carolina's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.83 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs North Carolina?

Rhode Island 2-1 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 38%, draw 25%, North Carolina 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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