Louisville City vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Louisville City 4-1 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City swept aside Monterey Bay 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Louisville City had 50% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 50%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Louisville City and 1.00 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Monterey Bay?
Louisville City 4-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 58%, draw 20%, Monterey Bay 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.