Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 Charleston Battery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Jul 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies
4-2 HT 1-2
Charleston Battery
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tampa Bay Rowdies v Charleston Battery — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +23%
1.63/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.47
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
15.6 Crosses 17.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Charleston Battery
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.32 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 321
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
13.04.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
26.03.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 3-0 HT 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
11.09.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
19.06.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
08.10.2021 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 HT 2-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
03.10.2021 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-2 HT 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 Charleston Battery — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
4-2
AWAY Charleston Battery
2.23 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
250 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies beat Charleston Battery 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 45% of the ball to Charleston Battery's 55%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.23 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.83 for Charleston Battery.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 4-2 Charleston Battery in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 42%, draw 25%, Charleston Battery 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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