Miami FC 1-2 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.26/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.21
+6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -42%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
14.8 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miami FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.47 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 504
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-0 HT 0-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
1-2
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.42 xG 0.62
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
477 Passes 249
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots squeezed past Miami FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oakland Roots as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Miami FC had 63% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 37%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.42 to 0.62 — on chances, Miami FC could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs Oakland Roots?

Miami FC 1-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 30%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland Roots), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
28 Jul 2024
02:00 Detroit City vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:30 Birmingham Legion vs Orange County SC Analysis →
02:30 Rhode Island vs North Carolina Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs Monterey Bay Analysis →