Birmingham Legion 3-0 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
13%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +29%
1.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.14
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
16.1 Crosses 11.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Orange County SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
355 Passes 343
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
3-0
AWAY Orange County SC
2.78 xG 0.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
304 Passes 456
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion ran out comfortable winners over Orange County SC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham Legion as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 42% of the ball to Orange County SC's 58%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.78 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Orange County SC?

Birmingham Legion 3-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 52%, draw 25%, Orange County SC 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
28 Jul 2024
02:00 Detroit City vs Sacramento Republic Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:30 Rhode Island vs North Carolina Analysis →
02:30 Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Charleston Battery Analysis →
03:00 Louisville City vs Monterey Bay Analysis →