Orange County SC 0-0 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

Orange County SC
0-0
New Mexico United
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Orange County SC vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orange County SC v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.12/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.33
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
15.8 Crosses 11.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Orange County SC vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY New Mexico United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
306 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.07.2024 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-0 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
30.07.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 0-0 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
30.04.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 3-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
05.06.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-2 HT 0-2 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
27.03.2022 New Mexico United New Mexico United 1-1 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
02.09.2019 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-2 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC and New Mexico United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orange County SC and 1.33 for New Mexico United.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs New Mexico United?

Orange County SC 0-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 40%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orange County SC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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