New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 2-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United took care of Orange County SC 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 59% to 41% in New Mexico United's favour, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.87 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for New Mexico United against 1.33 for Orange County SC.
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 2 - 0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 61%, draw 22%, Orange County SC 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.