New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
3-1
HT 1-0
Orange County SC
USLP
1-2
HT 0-2
New Mexico United
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
USLP
0-2
HT 0-0
Orange County SC
USLP
2-2
HT 0-2
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 2-0 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United beat Orange County SC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 59% of the ball to Orange County SC's 41%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.87 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for New Mexico United and 1.33 for Orange County SC.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
New Mexico United 2-0 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 48%, draw 27%, Orange County SC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.