Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-2
HT 1-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 2-1
Sacramento Republic
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-3
HT 1-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 0-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Sacramento Republic 0-1 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights edged past Sacramento Republic 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 47% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 53%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.00 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?
Sacramento Republic 0-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 50%, draw 25%, Las Vegas Lights 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.