San Antonio 1-1 Louisville City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Antonio EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Louisville City EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.17/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.99
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
11.1 Crosses 21.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Antonio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Louisville City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 0.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
138 Passes 220
50% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
14.11.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 3-1 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
FAQ San Antonio vs Louisville City
Match summary & frequently asked questions

San Antonio and Louisville City shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the USL Championship on 20 Oct 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Antonio and 1.00 for Louisville City.

What was the final score of San Antonio vs Louisville City?

San Antonio 1-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Louisville City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 29%, draw 27%, Louisville City 44%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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