Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
3-1
HT 2-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
4-3
HT 3-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
Indy Eleven
USLP
Indy Eleven nicked a narrow win over Birmingham Legion 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Indy Eleven as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.83 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Indy Eleven 3-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 50%, draw 23%, Birmingham Legion 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Indy Eleven), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.