Colorado Springs 1-0 Monterey Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.56/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.57
+28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
16.0 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Springs
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
409 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 2-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.07.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 4-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
29.05.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 4-2 HT 1-0 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
20.03.2022 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Springs
1-0
AWAY Monterey Bay
2.05 xG 0.37
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
468 Passes 248
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Springs edged past Monterey Bay 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colorado Springs as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colorado Springs had 62% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 38%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.37 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Springs's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Colorado Springs and 1.50 for Monterey Bay.

What was the final score of Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay?

Colorado Springs 1-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Springs win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Colorado Springs 49%, draw 26%, Monterey Bay 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Springs) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Springs) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
30 Jun 2024
02:00 Miami FC vs Detroit City Analysis →
02:30 Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Analysis →
02:30 Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City Analysis →
04:00 San Antonio vs New Mexico United Analysis →
05:00 Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots Analysis →
05:30 Las Vegas Lights vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Analysis →