Orange County SC 0-2 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.9
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.25/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.30
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.9 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.28
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-1 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
05.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 3-1 HT 2-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
14.05.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-0 HT 2-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
02.06.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-2 HT 1-1 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
08.05.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-2 HT 2-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
14.11.2021 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
0-2
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.46 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots beat Orange County SC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orange County SC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Orange County SC had 52% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 48%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.46 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orange County SC and 1.83 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?

Orange County SC 0-2 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 42%, draw 28%, Oakland Roots 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orange County SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✓ Under 2.5
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