Las Vegas Lights 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.38/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.07
+11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.7 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Vegas Lights
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.50 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
320 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-1 HT 2-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
17.04.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Vegas Lights
2-0
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.18 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
406 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Las Vegas Lights vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Las Vegas Lights made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 52% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 48%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.18 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 2.00 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Las Vegas Lights 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 36%, draw 27%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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