Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Birmingham Legion 1-4 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City ran out comfortable winners over Birmingham Legion 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Louisville City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 50% of the ball to Louisville City's 50%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.55 to 2.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.50 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
Birmingham Legion 1-4 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 38%, draw 29%, Louisville City 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion), Under 2.5 went the other way.