Loudoun United 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 30 Jun 2024

Loudoun United
2-0 HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 31% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Loudoun United v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +5%
1.37/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.33
+10% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.6 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loudoun United
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.92 xG 2.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
373 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-0 HT 1-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
25.06.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 2-4 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
09.10.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 8-0 HT 3-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
17.07.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-4 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
24.10.2021 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
24.08.2021 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-2 HT 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

Loudoun United 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loudoun United
2-0
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.57 xG 1.30
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
252 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loudoun United got the better of Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tampa Bay Rowdies at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Loudoun United had 43% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 57%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 2.57 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Loudoun United and 3.33 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Loudoun United 2-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 27%, draw 24%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 49%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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