San Antonio vs New Mexico United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v New Mexico United — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs New Mexico United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
San Antonio
USLP
2-1
HT 2-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
San Antonio
USLP
4-2
HT 1-2
San Antonio
USLP
San Antonio 2-3 New Mexico United — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United squeezed past San Antonio 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was San Antonio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, San Antonio had 67% of the ball to New Mexico United's 33%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.94 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for San Antonio and 1.33 for New Mexico United.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
San Antonio 2-3 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs New Mexico United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 41%, draw 28%, New Mexico United 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Antonio), Under 2.5 went the other way.