New Mexico United vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
San Antonio
USLP
2-1
HT 2-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
San Antonio
USLP
4-2
HT 1-2
San Antonio
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 2-1 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past San Antonio 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day New Mexico United made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 57% of the ball to San Antonio's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.26 to 0.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New Mexico United and 1.50 for San Antonio.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs San Antonio?
New Mexico United 2-1 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs San Antonio?
Before kick-off our model rated an San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 35%, draw 26%, San Antonio 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.