Sacramento Republic 0-0 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.9
Over 2.5
37%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
1.82
No
66%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
3.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
3.52
6+ Goals
6%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 41% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
49%
+14.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
51%
-14.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
51%
-16.5pp
66%
BTTS No
49%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.45/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.48
-22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.6 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.45
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
430 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.08.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-1 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
17.07.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 0-1 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
0-0
AWAY Birmingham Legion
0.56 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
329 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sacramento Republic vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic and Birmingham Legion fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sacramento Republic had 48% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.56 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sacramento Republic and 1.00 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs Birmingham Legion?

Sacramento Republic 0-0 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 43%, draw 32%, Birmingham Legion 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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