Memphis 901 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.59/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.35
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.9 Crosses 17.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Memphis 901
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.66 xG 1.89
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
364 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-2 HT 1-2 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
19.03.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 1-3 HT 1-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
14.08.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-2 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
13.03.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-3 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
25.09.2019 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-1 HT 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
04.08.2019 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-0 HT 2-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Memphis 901
2-0
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.27 xG 0.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 322
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Memphis 901 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Memphis 901 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Memphis 901 had 42% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.27 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Memphis 901 and 2.50 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Memphis 901 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Memphis 901 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Memphis 901 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Memphis 901 40%, draw 27%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Memphis 901), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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