Miami FC 0-4 North Carolina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
48%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
48%
Away Win
48%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miami FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY North Carolina EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.23/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.28
+27% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.2 Crosses 11.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miami FC
0-4
AWAY North Carolina
0.14 xG 2.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
262 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
6 Box Touches 32
4 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Miami FC vs North Carolina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina swept aside Miami FC 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Miami FC had 48% of the ball to North Carolina's 52%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.14 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Miami FC vs North Carolina?

Miami FC 0-4 North Carolina in the USL Championship on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miami FC vs North Carolina?

Before kick-off our model rated an North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Miami FC 32%, draw 21%, North Carolina 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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