Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-2
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
2-1
HT 1-0
Birmingham Legion
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
2-1
HT 0-0
Louisville City
USLP
Louisville City 5-0 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City swept aside Birmingham Legion 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Louisville City had 50% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 50%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.82 to 1.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Louisville City and 1.17 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?
Louisville City 5-0 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 47%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.