Monterey Bay 1-2 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterey Bay EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.50/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.15
+20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.5 Crosses 11.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterey Bay
2W-3D-1L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
333 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
14.03.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 1-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
03.09.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-2 HT 0-1 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
09.07.2023 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
07.08.2022 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay 1-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.04.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 5-0 HT 2-0 Monterey Bay Monterey Bay USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterey Bay
1-2
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.38 xG 1.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
262 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive squeezed past Monterey Bay 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day El Paso Locomotive made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Monterey Bay had 46% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 54%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.17 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

Monterey Bay 1-2 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 34%, draw 28%, El Paso Locomotive 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (El Paso Locomotive), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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