Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
1-0
HT 1-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-5
HT 1-3
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
3-1
HT 1-1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USLP
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Pittsburgh Riverhounds squeezed past Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 45% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.67 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 46%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.