New Mexico United vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
San Antonio
USLP
2-1
HT 2-0
New Mexico United
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
San Antonio
USLP
New Mexico United 4-2 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United beat San Antonio 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New Mexico United had 59% of the ball to San Antonio's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.43 to 2.05.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New Mexico United and 1.67 for San Antonio.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs San Antonio?
New Mexico United 4-2 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs San Antonio?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 42%, draw 33%, San Antonio 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.