New Mexico United vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities
New Mexico United v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New Mexico United 4-2 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United beat San Antonio 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 50%. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.91, about 52%.
The match data tells the story: New Mexico United had 59% of the ball to San Antonio's 41%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.43 to 2.05.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New Mexico United and 1.67 for San Antonio.
New Mexico United vs San Antonio Result & Final Score
New Mexico United 4 - 2 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New Mexico United vs San Antonio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 52%, draw 27%, San Antonio 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.