Charleston Battery 4-1 Phoenix Rising — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +35%
2.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
+44% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.2 Crosses 12.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Phoenix Rising
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.66 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
303 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.06.2024 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-0 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
13.11.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-1 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
12.03.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
4-1
AWAY Phoenix Rising
2.00 xG 1.27
36% Ball Possession 64%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
238 Passes 454
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
21 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Phoenix Rising
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery cruised past Phoenix Rising 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 36% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 64%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.00 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charleston Battery and 0.67 for Phoenix Rising.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Phoenix Rising?

Charleston Battery 4-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Phoenix Rising?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 55%, draw 23%, Phoenix Rising 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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