Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Indy Eleven v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Indy Eleven 0-1 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights nicked a narrow win over Indy Eleven 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Indy Eleven at 61% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in Indy Eleven's favour, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.60 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Indy Eleven against 1.50 for Las Vegas Lights.
Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights Result & Final Score
Indy Eleven 0 - 1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 61%, draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.