Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Indy Eleven v Las Vegas Lights — Team-Based Signals
Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Indy Eleven 0-1 Las Vegas Lights — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights nicked a narrow win over Indy Eleven 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Indy Eleven at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Indy Eleven had 52% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 48%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.60 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Las Vegas Lights led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.50 for Las Vegas Lights.
What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights?
Indy Eleven 0-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Las Vegas Lights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Indy Eleven win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 46%, draw 28%, Las Vegas Lights 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Indy Eleven) went the other way.