Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
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HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 3-2 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights edged past Indy Eleven 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Las Vegas Lights as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 66% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 34%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.13 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Las Vegas Lights's control.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven?
Las Vegas Lights 3-2 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 42%, draw 28%, Indy Eleven 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.