Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Las Vegas Lights v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Las Vegas Lights 3-2 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights edged past Indy Eleven 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Las Vegas Lights as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, Las Vegas Lights had 66% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 34%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.13 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Las Vegas Lights's control.
Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven Result & Final Score
Las Vegas Lights 3 - 2 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Las Vegas Lights vs Indy Eleven Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 49%, draw 25%, Indy Eleven 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.