Birmingham Legion 0-1 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +11%
1.61/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.35
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.5 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.87 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
312 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-5 HT 0-4 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
07.05.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-4 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
02.10.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
0-1
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.56 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
270 Passes 261
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oakland Roots squeezed past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham Legion at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 53% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 47%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.56 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.00 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Oakland Roots?

Birmingham Legion 0-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 51%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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