Oakland Roots 0-5 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
1.38/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.37
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
13.5 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
378 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-4 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
02.10.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
0-5
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.79 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
403 Passes 310
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion swept aside Oakland Roots 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Birmingham Legion made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 56% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 44%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.79 to 0.82 — the balance of chances actually favoured Oakland Roots.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.00 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Birmingham Legion?

Oakland Roots 0-5 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 40%, draw 24%, Birmingham Legion 36%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Oakland Roots), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oakland Roots) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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