North Carolina 2-1 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
2.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.67
+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.2 Crosses 14.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
2-1
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.09 xG 1.22
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
203 Passes 556
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 10
9 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina edged past Las Vegas Lights 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had North Carolina as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, North Carolina had 30% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 70%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.09 to 1.22.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Las Vegas Lights?

North Carolina 2-1 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 54%, draw 21%, Las Vegas Lights 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North Carolina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North Carolina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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