Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.70/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.89
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
17.5 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1W-0D-1L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-0 HT 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
15.05.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2-0
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.95 xG 0.51
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
288 Passes 577
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds saw off El Paso Locomotive 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 36% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 64%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.95 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.00 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs El Paso Locomotive?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 54%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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