Rhode Island 8-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.74
2-3 Goals
37%
2.03
4-5 Goals
23%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.08
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.74 — our 26% vs market 13.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
80%
-15.9pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.8pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.45/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/2.27
-19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
55.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.8
25.0 Crosses 10.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Miami FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 2-3 HT 0-2 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
8-1
AWAY Miami FC
4.87 xG 0.38
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
404 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 4
15 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island swept aside Miami FC 8-1. Half-time: 5-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rhode Island had 54% of the ball to Miami FC's 46%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 4.87 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Rhode Island 8-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 64%, draw 21%, Miami FC 15%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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