Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.02
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.02 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
62%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.09/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.05
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.1 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.01 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
406 Passes 344
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-2 HT 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
23.07.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
12.03.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
31.07.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-3 HT 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
20.03.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
13.10.2019 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tampa Bay Rowdies
3-0
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.78 xG 0.89
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies cruised past Indy Eleven 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 48% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.78 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.50 for Indy Eleven.

What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?

Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-0 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 56%, draw 24%, Indy Eleven 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
27 Oct 2024
01:00 Charleston Battery vs Loudoun United Analysis →
02:00 Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs El Paso Locomotive Analysis →
02:00 North Carolina vs Las Vegas Lights Analysis →
02:30 Louisville City vs Phoenix Rising Analysis →
04:00 FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Analysis →
04:00 Rhode Island vs Miami FC Analysis →