Indy Eleven 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jul 2024

Indy Eleven
0-2 HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Indy Eleven v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.04/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.38
-4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.3 Crosses 18.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Indy Eleven
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 1.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 436
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.07.2023 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
12.03.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 0-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
31.07.2022 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 1-3 HT 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
20.03.2022 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-0 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
13.10.2019 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-1 HT 1-0 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven USLP
02.05.2019 Indy Eleven Indy Eleven 0-0 HT 0-0 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

Indy Eleven 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Indy Eleven
0-2
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.23 xG 1.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 12
268 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tampa Bay Rowdies saw off Indy Eleven 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tampa Bay Rowdies found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Indy Eleven had 50% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 50%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.23 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Indy Eleven and 1.17 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Indy Eleven 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Indy Eleven 34%, draw 28%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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