Oakland Roots 2-5 Sacramento Republic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.20
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
13.3 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oakland Roots
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.58 xG 1.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
417 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.06.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-3 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
03.09.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-1 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
21.05.2023 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-1 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
28.08.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-0 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
10.07.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 3-3 HT 2-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
29.05.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-1 HT 0-1 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oakland Roots
2-5
AWAY Sacramento Republic
1.19 xG 3.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
299 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
9 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sacramento Republic ran out comfortable winners over Oakland Roots 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Sacramento Republic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oakland Roots had 51% of the ball to Sacramento Republic's 49%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 1.19 to 3.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sacramento Republic led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.83 for Sacramento Republic.

What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Oakland Roots 2-5 Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 33%, draw 31%, Sacramento Republic 36%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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