New Mexico United vs Birmingham Legion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Birmingham Legion — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Birmingham Legion Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-2
HT 0-2
Birmingham Legion
USLP
New Mexico United 1-1 Birmingham Legion — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United and Birmingham Legion couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was New Mexico United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, New Mexico United had 66% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 34%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.78 to 2.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for New Mexico United and 1.50 for Birmingham Legion.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Birmingham Legion?
New Mexico United 1-1 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Birmingham Legion?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 47%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New Mexico United), BTTS No went the other way.