Orange County SC 2-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jul 2024

Orange County SC
2-0 HT 0-0
San Antonio
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

Orange County SC vs San Antonio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orange County SC v San Antonio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +23%
1.19/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.04
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.6 Crosses 18.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Orange County SC vs San Antonio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orange County SC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY San Antonio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 234
72% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
14.04.2024 San Antonio San Antonio 0-0 HT 0-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
08.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
24.09.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 4-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
16.10.2022 San Antonio San Antonio 2-2 HT 1-2 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
10.04.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
21.11.2021 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-1 HT 1-0 San Antonio San Antonio USLP

Orange County SC 2-0 San Antonio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orange County SC
2-0
AWAY San Antonio
1.36 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
221 Passes 311
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orange County SC vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC got the better of San Antonio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Orange County SC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Orange County SC had 44% of the ball to San Antonio's 56%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.36 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orange County SC and 1.33 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Orange County SC vs San Antonio?

Orange County SC 2-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orange County SC vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Orange County SC 37%, draw 28%, San Antonio 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orange County SC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orange County SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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