FC Tulsa 1-0 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.38/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.38
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
15.0 Crosses 14.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tulsa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Memphis 901
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.45 xG 1.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 305
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
20.05.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-2 HT 0-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
16.10.2022 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-3 HT 0-2 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
23.06.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
28.10.2021 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
03.10.2021 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-3 HT 0-3 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tulsa
1-0
AWAY Memphis 901
2.25 xG 0.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
209 Passes 307
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Tulsa vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over Memphis 901 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day FC Tulsa made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Tulsa had 43% of the ball to Memphis 901's 57%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.25 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tulsa's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Tulsa and 2.83 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Memphis 901?

FC Tulsa 1-0 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated an Memphis 901 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 34%, draw 27%, Memphis 901 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Memphis 901) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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