Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 Hartford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.84
-2% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
17.2 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartford Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.87 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
362 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.06.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
24.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-4 HT 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
24.07.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
20.03.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
31.10.2021 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3-1
AWAY Hartford Athletic
2.30 xG 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
199 Passes 435
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pittsburgh Riverhounds saw off Hartford Athletic 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pittsburgh Riverhounds as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had 36% of the ball to Hartford Athletic's 64%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.30 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.17 for Hartford Athletic.

What was the final score of Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3-1 Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pittsburgh Riverhounds 54%, draw 25%, Hartford Athletic 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pittsburgh Riverhounds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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