Hartford Athletic 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.76 — our 24% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.41/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.02
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.7 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 2.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
345 Passes 355
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-4 HT 0-2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
13.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0 HT 2-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
24.07.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
20.03.2022 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-1 HT 1-1 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
31.10.2021 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
29.08.2021 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 2-3 HT 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pittsburgh Riverhounds USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
2-0
AWAY Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.93 xG 1.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
306 Passes 418
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 24
4 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic got the better of Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Hartford Athletic made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 44% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 56%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.93 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pittsburgh Riverhounds led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hartford Athletic and 2.17 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Hartford Athletic 2-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 37%, draw 28%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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